Watford v Burnley (Saturday 15:00)
Burnley’s recent pick up in form can be attributed to a relatively easy schedule, with three of their four games across their winning streak coming on home turf, while these included a last gasp FA Cup win over League One outfit Barnsley, as well as a narrow win over Fulham despite not even registering a shot on target on that occasion. Their sole success on the road in their recent run came against hapless Huddersfield – who played over half the game with 10 men – and so it’s difficult to get too excited about Sean Dyche’s team. That’s especially the case given Watford have only lost once in their last seven league matches, against Chelsea, and some tough home fixtures have hidden their decent home form as the Hornets have gone W4-D1-L1 at Vicarage Road when hosting teams outside the top six this term.
Watford Win at 1.64
Huesca v Atletico Madrid (Saturday 17:30)
Huesca may have beaten Real Betis 2-1 recently, but that was just their second victory all season and the first since the opening day when they beat Eibar by the same score. They’re still six points adrift of 19th-placed Villarreal, and 10 shy of Celta Vigo in 17th, and look ill-equipped to handle the visit of in-form Atletico. That’s especially the case having shipped 14 goals in just four matches against the current top-four this term, including a 3-0 defeat in the reverse fixture. Diego Simeone’s side have plenty of confidence having put together their best run of the season with four wins from five unbeaten matches, only slipping up at 3rd-placed Sevilla, while in Antoine Griezmann they have a player on fire at the moment with six goals across this recent spell as he netted at least once on each occasion.
Atletico Madrid Win at 1.71
Monaco vs Strasbourg (Saturday 19:00)
A pair of draws against Marseille and Nice are decent results in the grand scheme of things for Monaco’s woeful campaign, but they look far too short at odds-on having not won at home all season. Six of these have been hosting top-half teams, but they welcome another in seventh-placed Strasbourg, and having conceded at least twice in four of their five matches here under Thierry Henry – including a 2-0 defeat to basement-dwellers Guingamp – it’s very difficult to get behind them. Indeed, Strasbourg have lost just three of their last 13 matches and on the road they’ve only tasted defeat at top-six sides Lyon and Marseille and a well organised Reims outfit. Furthermore, Monaco still have a host of injuries, so it looks a great opportunity to take a flyer on the visitors at a juicy price.
Strasbourg Win at 3.90
Leave a comment