Bournemouth vs Wolves
Bournemouth briefly threatened to turn their woeful form around with successive victories over West Ham and Chelsea, but have since reverted to losing games, suffering defeats at Cardiff and Liverpool, meaning they’ve now lost seven of their last 11 with all their defeats by at least a two-goal margin. The man who inspired them to their 4-0 thrashing of Chelsea was David Brooks, but he has since missed the two defeats as the Cherries have scored just once and lost all five matches without the Welshman this term. Moreover, top scorer Callum Wilson is also sidelined and in the 21 games the striker has missed since the start of last term, they’ve lost 67%, compared to just 35% of the 43 he has started.
The hosts look there for the taking and Wolves are certainly the type of team that can take advantage. Nuno’s men have put in a coupe of sensational away performances recently at Spurs and Everton and they’re on a run of five victories from seven matches in all competitions. With their tails up, they should have enough to see off their below par and diminished opposition.
Wolves Win at 2.50*
Alaves vs Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo are in real danger of going down after a run of seven defeats in eight matches has seen them plummet to 17th and just a point above the relegation zone. Not only has their defence been awful – conceding at least twice in each of these defeats – but it is also no coincidence that star striker Iago Aspas has been absent for the last seven. In fact, going back to the start of the 2016/17 season, they’ve lost just 37% of the 75 games he has started but that rises to a whopping 72% in the 25 he has missed, as they’ve scored 48% fewer goals per game.
Alaves have been enjoying their best season since getting promoted a few years back. They’ve been in the top-six for the majority of the campaign and they’ve been particularly strong at home, losing just once here and winning six of their remaining 10 games. They’ve won four of six hosting bottom-half teams and when we go back to the start of last term (when they were down in 14th), they’ve won 11 of 15 such encounters.
Alaves Win at 2.30
Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal
Villarreal shocked Sevilla 3-0 last time out to end a run of 10 games without a win, though that was only their fourth victory this term and despite rising one place in the table, they’re still mired down in the relegation zone. It’s also worth bearing in mind that Sevilla have been absolutely horrendous on the road in 2019 so far, losing each of their last five trips domestically including a 6-1 humiliation at the Camp Nou.Atletico may have slipped up in the league with defeats against Real Betis and Real Madrid, though they’ve won their subsequent two matches to rebuild their confidence, which includes their 2-0 success hosting Juventus in the Champions League. That was a massive result for the club, and they have now won 13 of their last 16 at the Wanda Metropolitano in all competitions, keeping a clean sheet in 11 of these victories. Furthermore, hosting bottom-half fishers from last season and current bottom-half teams, Atleti have won 14 of 15 matches at their new home, so look banker material against the relegation threatened Yellow Submarine.
Atletico Win at 1.57