Horse Racing Betting Tips: Friday at Lingfield & Newcastle

Check out our in-house LFC fan & horse racing betting tipster's pointers for Friday's races at Lingfield and Newcastle

2nd May 2019 | , , , Posted by Joel

Jockey Barend Vorster rides Sunlight to victory in race 6, Seppelt Wines Newmarket Handicap during Super Saturday at Flemington Racecourse in Melbourne, Saturday, March 9, 2019. (AAP Image/George Salpigtidis)

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Friday’s Fancies…

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4.10 Lingfield – Blazed

For me this race revolves around whether this horse gets back to the best of his flat turf form from last autumn.

I think he will take all the beating if he does. The runs last September at Ascot and Newmarket were decent enough, off OR 76 and 77, not beaten far. He runs off 71 here, his lowest turf mark for the yard, and drops into a class 5 handicap on turf for the first time.

Harry Bentley also returns, having not ridden the horse since Ascot in September.

Get on the 4:10 at Lingfield

Given that trainer/jockey are 6/13,8p at the track in the last 5 years, I thought that could be significant. He does have to step forward from his two AW runs but he probably needed the first of those, where he ran well but also didn’t stay.

His last run was over before it began really, slowly away and never really in contention. Hopefully he runs better today and if he can run to his previous best on the turf, that would be good enough to win this race I think.

9.00 Newcastle – Wise Words

James Tate’s horses have been going well for some time and he’s 3/11,4p in the last 14 days.

He is worth following with his handicap debutants given he’s 13/39, +13 with those in the last year, and 5/11 at Newcastle. He also does well when booking PJ McDonald – they’re 12/28,17p +24 when teaming up in the last year.

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So, there’s plenty of stats to provide a foundation for his chance.

The horse.. well he’s unexposed, this being the fourth run of his life.

He runs as if the stiff 5f here may be ideal for him and he comes here in form. He ran well LTO when short of room, running on but not able to reel in the leaders, beaten 1L. Plenty of these look a tad more exposed, with maybe the Archie Watson horse the main danger.

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by Joel