A trip to Ayr…
It’s the Scottish Grand National ‘Festival’ at Ayr this weekend so I thought I’d concentrate on the two-day card. In general, there are three trainers to keep onside at this meeting… Messrs Paul Nicholls, Nicky Henderson and Dan Skelton.
2.55 – Rhythm Is A Dancer
Paul Nicholls is 10/45,15p with all runners at the track in the last 5 years and at this meeting, in class 3 races, he’s 7/14,,8p +29 SP. Immediately then this horse is of interest.
The selection looks progressive, arrives on the back of a win, races prominently and looks well worth a go over this new distance – it could unlock further improvement. The horse he beat LTO has since won easily and the front two were miles clear of the rest there, which is always a good sign. He should be able to lob along on or near the front end and kick at a time of his jockeys choosing.
Give him the ball, he’ll score everytimeeeeeee 🎵 🇧🇷 pic.twitter.com/0xGXKQM8uP
— RedsBet (@Reds_Bet) April 9, 2019
He looks the most interesting in this race to my eyes.
3.25 – Born Survivor
Any horse that Dan Skelton runs at a jumps ‘Festival’ after a break is worthy of closer inspection as it appears to be the MO of the team.
I’ve no doubt this has been the target for this horse, possibly since the day after his last run. I say that as he is clearly best fresh. His record after breaks of 100+ days off is 1, 2, 1,1, which is impressive enough.
Dan Skelton is 6/19,12p, +12 in handicaps at this meeting over 2m-2m5.5 and the team are in form – 10/50,18p in the last 14 days. Two starts ago the horse beat Guitar Pete and Cracking Find, with a big gap back to the others. That’s solid enough form and all of his wins are on flat, left handed tracks, which he gets here.
I’m expecting a big run from him here and he still looks to have a bit in hand from this mark.